Stock Analysis 10/28

The positive sentiment keeps on coming. Dow surged by almost 340 points because of the European debt. The push was caused by the deal crafted by European leaders to slash Greece's debt load and to prevent the crisis from engulfing other larger economies such as Italy with the aim of preventing another financial collapse like the one that happened in 2008 after the sinking of Lehman Brothers.

What's in store for us today? PHISIX may significantly surge. We may see several stocks that may gap up. So here's some options.

1.) Sell on the initial rally and buy back during the retracement

2.) Just hold on to your positions as this may continue next week

3.) Sell on the rally and stay liquid

My take would be a combination of 1 and 2. Sell on the initial rally, buy back on the retracement, and hold the position for next week. There are some developments on the European debt crisis which, in my opinion, will continue next week. There is some serious positive sentiment over the weekend and the momentum of most stocks are so strong.

Stocks to look out for:

ZHI - ZHI closed at its high yesterday and may easily breach P1 today. ZHI's price action might be prompted by its ASM on Nov. 16.

Sleeper stocks - If we noticed yesterday, sleeper stocks such as ZHI and BHI went up. ZHI continued to do so until the market closed but BHI's momentum waned. However, despite the weak momentum, BHI showed some signs. After ZHI, BHI may follow as well as other stocks such as WPI and LIHC. Just keep an eye on this stocks.

GEO - GEO is starting to get back up slowly but surely. It may finally break away from the 0.56 levels and break past 0.6 today.

Blue chips - Some blues that gained some attention are DMC, ALI, and MEG. These stocks traded with high volume and with Dow's high surge, these stocks are expected to rise

TEL  and DGTL - For traders, DGTL is a more viable option because it is way cheaper than TEL. TEL on the other hand, a PSE heavyweight, can determine and influence the movement of our index and economy. Both TEL and DGTL are good for short term plays.

NI - More investments are coming to NI. Expect NI to do so good today and next week.

*Gold went down by more than 11 points and it has shown some weakness. Maybe its good to start get ridding of mining stocks because, other than gold, other metals are going down as well.

However, despite the very positive sentiment, the possibility of PHISIX taking a dip is quite high. There is a long weekend coming. Traders may clear their positions out.

Stock Analysis 10/27

Dow Jones surged by more than 100 points after the reports that China will provide some aid for Europe's financial turmoil. NASDAQ, S&P 500, and gold all finished green as well signifying some strength. What should this do to PHISIX today? This may push PHISIX, especially blue chips, up but may fail to sustain momentum because of the long weekend ahead. Long weekends normally prompt selling because of the anticipation that something bad may happen to the market. However, this could go in two ways.

1.) The market may do good during the weekend, or
2.) The market may not do good

If there will be some negative sentiment during the weekend, stocks are bound to sink next week but if there will be some positive sentiment, stocks are going to go up. Those who are brave enough are going to benefit the most.

So what should we do? Take greed and fear away from the picture and assess your risk tolerance. If you can afford to put your money in some stocks when the market is closed and take the risk of having negative sentiments during the weekend, pick stocks that are trading with high volume or some blue chips. The rewards are great if there is some positive sentiment. If you're a little conservative, stay liquid.

Stocks to look at:

Some stocks went up significantly yesterday but among that stood out is NI. For the second straight day, NI has went up significantly and may be profit taking bound. Instead of NI, pick AGP. NI-ORE-AGP moves together and if one starts to move up, the others are going to follow.

PWR and the IP-CLOUD-DFNN tandem are also worth looking. PWR's price action show some buying strength while IP seemed to bounce at the 1.8 levels. It looks like IP have already filled the gap and is bound north again.

For the past 3 days, the volume in PHISIX is been relatively low.

Stock Analysis 10/24

Dow Jones is up by 267 points and gold is up by more than 23 points. Such increases are very bullish and we should expect our very own PHISIX to follow suit as well. Technically, PHISIX's MACD and RSI are indicating some bullishness (really bullish actually) which may continue today.

The mining sector is something to watch out for. Gold's 23 point increase may push mining up. Penny stocks MA and AR are stocks to watch out for. MA's momentum is quite strong and AR's trek towards a cent is still on.

Last week's wonder workers IP-CLOUD-DFNN has been trimmed down to just one recently, IP. The lock up until December 15 can be considered as an indicator that there is something cooking in IP. Consider this. These people who locked their capital in IP are seasoned investors and are most likely to know more about IP and its deals. There is no way that these people are going to lock their money up for either a loss or something unclear, a significant gain is definitely around the corner. What to do with IP? For those who have IP, hold it. If it gets past your average price, sell it. For those without IP, monitor it and buy if it goes down further. We may have today until tomorrow or Wednesday (max) to day trade or momentum trade. There is a long weekend ahead and long weekends prompt selling in anticipation of something bad may happen during the vacation break.

Selectively pick stocks and be defensive in trading.

Stock Analysis 10/21

Dow Jones is up by 37 points. PHISIX may either continue its correction or will resume an uptrend. However, Gaddafi's death may prompt major markets up which, in my opinion, will provide positive sentiment in PHISIX. Most traders will anticipate surges in major markets thus will position themselves early. However, I may be wrong thus monitor the market keenly.

IP is a stock to look at. IP's lock up is due until Dec. 15 and traders and jockeys alike may manipulate its price action before the said date. For mid term holders, IP is a great choice and for short term traders, buying on dips and selling on rallies on this stock can give good gains.

Penny stocks AR, BHI, and MA are also good picks. AR is 0.01 bound, MA's momentum is quite strong, while BHI is cheap as of the moment.

Position yourselves today in anticipation of strong rallies in the next few days.

Stock Analysis 10/20

Dow is down by -72 points, NASDAQ by more than 50 points, S&P 500 by more than 15 points, and gold by almost 3 points. In my opinion, Dow Jones hasn't corrected completely yet and when will Dow convincingly correct, we never know. I'm not more concerned about Dow but more about PHISIX. If we noticed yesterday, PHISIX has shown some weakness yesterday especially on stocks like IP and DFNN. That just might be an indicator that PHISIX will finally correct today.

PHISIX is very bullish for the past 10 days and has shown some resiliency. However, RSI is still far from being overbought which indicates two things, first, PHISIX may continue its trek up, or should there be a correction, it will be short lived again and PHISIX will bounce quickly barring any negative news here and abroad.

Keppel's delisting in PSE may not significantly affect the market today.

Stocks to look at:

IP-CLOUD-DFNN - Many traders are stuck in these stocks. If you have these stocks, hold it to avoid losses. I'm not concerned about IP not unless it breaks past 2.58. Jockeys can easily push this stock up to 7 or even high if they wish to in the next couple of days. DFNN on the other hand is on accumulation mode as per reco. Let's just be patient on this one.

AR - AR has shown some strength yesterday when most stocks weakened. AR closed at high and there is a good possibility of a gap up. Trading plan: For those with AR, sell on the initial surge, monitor it, and buy if it shows some bullishness. For those who doesn't have AR, buy it at opening, sell on initial surge, monitor it, and buy if it shows some bullishness. Just be cautious of bull traps for short term plays. Keep in mind that AR's target price is 0.01

MA - Slowly but surely. There is nothing much about MA aside from the fact that it follows LC and LCB. however, as far as strength is concerned, MA is very strong. It has gone up from less than 0.044 to as high as 0.065 in just a matter of 12 days, some 47% gain for the past 2 weeks. MA is still far from being overbought and I think it will break past 0.07 in a day or two.

IP Update

After the sale of his interest in the national electricity superhighway, tycoon Ricky Razon is now shopping around for a listed shell company for his ventures outside of international port operator ICTSI.

We're talking about Bloomsbury Investments, which is now building a $1.3-billion integrated casino and tourism facility at the Pagcor-initiated Entertainment City in partnership with the gigantic Las Vegas Sands group, which operates the famous Venetian casino complex.

According to the grapevine, Razon is in talks with publicly listed IPVG Corp. or some of its operating units for the backdoor-listing ticket. IPVG, after all, is undertaking a restructuring program to unlock values at the publicly listed shell company level while spinning off its technology-related businesses. This means that Razon can come in and infuse his gaming interests into IPVG.

-Doris Dumlao

Stock Tips 10/19

Dow is up by a little over 180 points as well as NASDAQ, S&P 500, and even gold. Is Dow's correction already done? It's hard to tell but we can expect PHISIX to start up strong today.

1.) Most people are stuck with stocks that went down yesterday and if these stocks will surge early, it is an opportunity to get out.

2.) Another reason why PHISIX will surge is the entry of traders. Because of Dow's +180.05, it will prompt buying. It may be short lived because such traders may exit on initial rallies.

3.) Another possibility is PHISIX surging until close. Ideal game plan for this one is to sell on rallies and buy back during the retracement. However, monitor if the market will indicate some strength near close (like IP yesterday).

A special case is IP and other stocks that surged. These stocks are candidates for gap ups. In IP's case, it may reach 3.87 during the initial surge. IP is a stock that is worth monitoring because if it breaches 3.87, it may surge ahead to 4 or even higher. CLOUD may follow IP but must be sold on initial high.

DFNN may follow IP and CLOUD after these two stocks lose their momentum.

Pick blue chips selectively. I think that we are already on a confirmed bull run. This may continue to do so until December.

Stock Analysis 10/18

Dow Jones is down by nearly 250 points. NASDAQ, S&P 500, and gold are down as well. Basically, almost everything is down. This could be the long awaited correction that we are looking at. Dow has surged significantly over the past few days.

Below is the chart of PHISIX.

PHISIX has just broken past its support which may indicate some bullishness. However, because PHISIX, just like Dow, has been surging for the past few weeks, it may correct along with Dow. Worst case scenario is PHISIX going back down to fill the gap at 3900 levels (encircled). Should we be worried? Personally, there is nothing to be worried about. The market has gained some strength to push it back up. What we may experience is just a mere correction. PHISIX's MACD and RSI are far from overbought and are indicating bullishness.

What should we do? If PHISIX will show some weakness, either we'll hold on to our shares or sell it and buy back lower.

My stock pick for today is MA. MA has exhibited some consistency.

The chart above shows that MA has been rising slowly but consistently. Good thing is that it has broken past its resistance at 0.06 and both MACD and RSI aren't indicating some bearishness. If we may recall, MA wen't up by 10% and its RSI still haven't reached 50 which indicates that there is still a very huge room to grow. What's with MA? There is really nothing so serious about MA right now aside from its chart pattern and price action. MA moves with LC and this is a good stock to pick until March when Goldfields makes its final payment on Lepanto. Why MA over LC? Because MA is way, way cheaper than LC. P2 can buy roughly just a share of LC or LCB but can buy more or less 33 shares of MA or MAB. That's some penny stock earning power there.

Other stocks to look at are PX, the hyped IP-CLOUD-LR-BEL-DFNN tandem, and the future wonder stock LIHC.