Pick of the Week: TEL

The Philippine Stock Exchange Index has been sluggish for the past week or two despite the strong finishes and price movements of most of its listed stocks due to the fact that TEL (PLDT), the Philippines top and leading telecommunications company, is on a downtrend. TEL has a huge influence on the stock market index.

Below is TEL's chart:

TEL is bound to bounce for the following reasons:

1.) It's price is currently at its trend support.

2.) Major indicators MACD, RSI, and STS are all low (so low for that matter). Low or oversold indicators always bounce back up. Volume is good as well, stock is active.

3.) Despite the massive sell off, huge brokers such as ATR Kim Eng Securities, Thing-on Securities Ltd., SB Securities Inc., DBP-Daiwa Securities, Regina Capital, Papa Securities Inc., and First Orient Securities bought huge number of TEL shares.

Quotes that may fit TEL well:

"Sell when everybody is buying and buy when everybody is selling"

"Buy on fear, sell on greed"

The sell off could still be the effect of lowering of PLDT's credit rating by Moody's. So caveat.

Nevertheless, TEL is worth watching.

Target entry price: P2,550

Target sell price: P2,700 (5.88% upside minus commissions and fees)

Target cut loss point: P2,500 (psychological support)

Index Stock Picks (Apr. 17-21): MEG, RLC, and URC

MEG, RLC, and URC's charts are looking great and are primed to go further north this week. Here are the charts of the three stocks:

RLC:

After breaking 17, RLC has been consolidating and moved sideways for more or less 3 weeks. It made 17 its psychological resistance. RLC had its first major price action in 2-3 weeks which may prompt a possible breakout. If RLC will break past 17, it will most likely post a new high. Unchartered territories are were stock prices surge fast. RLC's STS also indicates strength. RSI is not yet overbought and volume is good.

Buying Price: 17 or below (ideally 16.8 or lower)

Selling Price: 17.45 or higher

URC:

If URC breaks its resistance at 65, this is primed to break out. This has been consolidating for quite some time already and is ripe enough to go back up. Price action, volume, STS, and RSI are all positive. All we have to do is to wait for URC to go higher than 65. As shown in the chart, URC is also on its 20-day SMA which can also be considered as a support.

If 65 is broken, URC will be on a new all-time high.

Buying Price: 65 - 65.5 (as long as it is with good volume)

Selling Price: Whenever you are comfortable (be sure its higher than 2% to avoid commission loss)

MEG:

For a stock like MEG, its quite puzzling why did it continue to go down despite its good fundamentals and outlook. Looking at the bright side, it has brought the stock to a very undervalued level.

However, MEG already broke out from its downtrend resistance for nearly 2 months already and is starting to gain some serious momentum. Below is MEG's short term chart.

MEG has bounced from its uptrend support and at 61.8% Fibonacci (check it out). Price gradually went up in the last 2 days and a strong price is very probable within the week. RSI is still far from being overbought and STS may cross up. MEG's volume is also good and may increase if price will surge.

Buying Price: 1.97 (if price will gap up, 2 or lower)

Selling Price: 2.1