PX Poised To Give Its High Another Run

The Manny Pangilinan led Philex Mining (PX) may hit another high soon. The charts below suggest that PX is setting itself up for another bullish run and possibly break its previous high set at the 27 levels.

The first chart below suggests that PX is just a few notches below its 10-month resistance to date.

The second chart however suggests that it is once again going to challenge such resistance. It has just bounced from its June-July support and may have got some new life.

PX finished strong today closing at 25.65 from 25.50 and hovering around the 25.30-25.40 mark for the most part of the day before going up. Ideally, if the support and resistance levels will hold true, PX will rise from 25.65 to a little less than 28 or probably even breach that mark. Setting a target price at 28 (maybe just a conservative amount), PX could rise by 10%-11% in just a matter of days or maybe weeks, not really quite bad.

Aside from the support and resistance levels, PX's RSI suggests that it is far from overbought thus many buyers will flock this stock in the next few days prompting this one to get so bullish. On the second chart, it's MACD (encircled in green) is starting to reverse which signifies that it will once again head back up. With both RSI and MACD considered, there is a good chance that PX will break such resistance (27.80 to 28 levels). If such resistance is broken, PX is going to uncharted waters where history suggests is a territory where stocks phenomenally go high. Setting a target price of around P35 or a gain of more than 20% is still realistic.

PX is fundamentally rich as well. Philex's subsidiary Silangan Mindanao Mining Co. just bagged tax breaks in its P49B project in Surigao del Norte. The said project can generate 2,592 jobs upon its operation by 2017 that covers 2,880 hectares of land and estimated to contain 393 million metric tons of ore which will have an estimated mine life of 36 years.

Possible Superstars in the Properties Sector

The PSE Properties Sector has been moving sideways between the 1400 and 1600 levels for the past 10 months. Now that such sector is nearing 1600 once again, there is a good chance that such resistance will be broken. In order to do that, stocks in the properties sector must do well, just like how the mining and oil sector is doing in line with the continuous rise in the oil price.

Here are two technically rich stocks that might propel the properties sector to break the 1600 mark and possible build some momentum and rise significantly.

Ayala Land Inc. (ALI)

The chart below shows that ALI has just broken out its 10 month resistance. With its RSI suggesting that it is still far from being overbought and the fundamentals that the properties sector has got recently, it won't be surprising to see ALI go up.

If ALI's price action moves up, it may encounter resistances at 17, 17.50, and around 18.20. With its current price at 16.58, ALI presents some conservative yet possibly less risky gains.

Belle Corporation (BEL)

Whether BEL behaves extraordinarily or not, its chart still suggests a huge upside. For the past 5 1/2 months, BEL has been moving sideways inside the P4-P6 channel. With its current price at P4.70, it may ideally have some P1.30 upside or 21.67% gain potential as far as the channel is concerned. The chart below suggests that BEL has a huge gap to fill from P4.70 to P6.

BEL has been dormant lately moving sideways just between the 4.68 to 4.75 channel for the past month. However, with the huge potential and promise that the properties sector is showing, BEL may wake up real soon. Its RSI suggests that it is way too far from overbought and in fact nearing oversold thus the bulls may just push this stock up soon. BEL however might not be good for short term play but as far as potential is concerned, this is a good stock.

ALI and BEL are just a few of the many stocks that show good potential in the properties sector. With the market still focused on the mining and oil industry and with mixed emotions because of the "ghost month", it may take some time for these two to move. The properties sector is already starting to build some momentum with the fundamentals that the Philippine market is getting so this sector may have next wonder worker especially now that the mining and oil sector is getting too overbought.

Ayala Land Inc. (ALI): Breakout Bound

The chart below shows that Ayala Land Inc. (ALI) is at its 3 month resistance at 16.48. With the properties sector winning some significant market sentiment lately as evident in the price action of stocks such as FLI and VLL, ALI is bound to breakout soon.

So how confident ALI could be? ALI has been consistently rising for more than a week and yet its RSI suggests that it is not yet oversold. With the properties sector bound to breakout and ALI owning the biggest chunk on the said sector, it might push the said sector up. How ALI will do will significantly affect the properties sector.

ALI also bagged a P3.5 billion sale and lease of 7.7 hectares of state property at Negros topping rival SM Prime. The said sale is prompted to provide more jobs, improve the tourism in the province, and Negrenses will enjoy a better kind of life.

Personal Disclosure: Sold PWR for a loss due to the crappy internet connection and bought ALI at 16.42. I bought PWR at 3.05 last Thursday and should have sold it at 3.30 at Friday but failed to do so because of the lag on the broker's system. I ended up selling it at 2.98 and 2.95. Looking forward to buy more ALI if the resistance is broken.

Manila Mining (MA) to challenge 10 month resistance

I've been a fan of Manila Mining (MA) for the past week. MA just got out from its triangle and went up from 0.051 to as high as 0.063 (23.52%) in just a week. However, the chart below tells that MA is right at its 10-month resistance.

Should MA maintain its momentum and break such resistance, 0.1 would just be around the corner. With the momentum that the mining and oil sector has gained over the past months, there is a good possibility that MA will get past such resistance and continue to go north. On the downside, MA's RSI shows that it is already over the oversold level.

Fundamentally, the market sentiment towards the mining and oil sector remains very high and the price of gold continues to increase thus making MA still one of the better picks in the market today.

Personal Disclosure: Sold MA for 17.19% gain after 5 days and bought PWR for another short term play. Should MA bounce back after the correction and break such resistance, I'll get back into the MA wagon.

Manila Mining (MA): Breakout Bound?

The long wait for Manila Mining's (MA) run could finally be over. MA went up by 0.0050 points or 9.62% to close at P0.057 and reach a new high. MA has already broken out from its triangle formed in the past two months and has breached its uptrend resistance as shown in the chart below.

Now that MA is already in an uncharted territory, anything is possible. LC and PWR were phenomenal after making new highs with LC roughly doubled in just two months while PWR nearing 600% gain in just a week! With no resistances to stop MA, it could follow LC and PWR's footsteps and could be the next wonder worker in the days or weeks to come.

Fundamentally, gold continues to do very well internationally which puts the ball back into the mining sector. Gold went up by 2.90 points in the global market despite of the heavy selling that sent the stocks down to a new low for July. Dow Jones Index (DJI), S&P 500, and Nasdaq all went down while gold and oil remained positive.

The positive sentiment towards the oil and mining sector could push MA (and other stocks in the sector) up. A little caution must be exercised though as MA's RSI is indicating that it is already a little overbought and correction or selling might just be around the corner.

PSE Index: Breakout or Breakdown?

For two and a half months, the Philippine Stock Exchange Index or PSEi has been moving sideways. It hit an all time high of more than 4,450 last July 6 but went down from then on. The chart below shows that PSEi is currently resting at its past resistance. Hopefully, such resistance will turn into a support so PSEi could bounce and head back up again.

Aside from turning the resistance into a possible support, PSEi is also resting on 38.2% Fibonacci in reference to its last correction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also showing some good signs as it is not overbought. However, the MACD is showing some bearish signs.

A little caution must be practiced because, despite PSEi's good technical position, the fundamentals aren't looking great. The debt crisis that the European markets are experiencing are having an impact on the global markets. The Dow Jones Index manifested such crisis by dropping 151.44 points or -1.20%. Nasdaq also dropped 57.44 points or -2.0%, while oil continues to tumble down.

Gold might push PSEi up aside from its good technical position. Gold increased by more than 6 points which might have triggered the 11% increase in LC. If gold continues to do such wonder, the mining and oil sector will remain as a safe bet for both traders and investors. The mining and oil sector is also on an uptrend.

If PSEi's technical position won't hold, it may sink to as low as 4200, its long term uptrend support, a deep dive from its current value at 4375. PSE's chart is showing some bearish divergence so there might be a good chance for it to drop.